Monday, March 17, 2014

Dilma faces turmoils as election agenda gains the media

Agência Brasil
President Dilma inducted six ministers this Monday,
two of them were nominated to make amends with PMDB
From now on no news on the politics section is unrelated with the election for presidents, governors, deputies and senators on october. Every announcement, every quote from a political personality has now a direct reference to the dispute between Dilma and so far the two other possible candidates (Eduardo Campos from PSB and Aécio Neves from PSDB).

The electoral tone was all over two stories that represented a downturn to Dilma on the last couple of weeks: the mess in the energy sector and the dispute with PMDB, the major allied party of Dilma. In the first case, Rui Falcão, president of PT (Worker's Party, the PT of Dilma) declared that PMDB was only interested in positions in the government and not as much in reaching the greater good for the country. Eduardo Cunha, the leading deputy of PMDB in the Congress started a rebellion and threatened to go against some of the most important projects of the government such as the Marco Civil da Internet (the Civil Landmark of the Internet -- a set of rules for the internet business in the country), due to be voted this week.

Initially Dilma tried to ignore the opposition inside her own allied base. But after realizing the power of the unpleased allies she decided to nominate two of PMDB approved names for the ministrers of Agriculture and Tourism. Ironically the crisis that started with a critic of the PMDB greediness for positions inside the government is being solved by providing PMDB with positions in the government.

Another setback for Dilma was in the energy area. Briefly put, the government decided to anticipate the end of some of the energy contracts last year (this way provoking a cut in the energy prices for the end consumer, that would represent a discount of 28% for residential users). The project backfired as it stimulated energy consumption in a time of the year where the hydroelectric dams were not getting as much rain as in the previous years. This forced the electric system to turn on the thermoelectric plants that are more expensive. In order to keep its promise of a cheaper energy, the government decided to subsidize the energy bill by putting billions to pay the extra cost of thermoelectric energy. After denying for several weeks that that was a crisis in the sector, the government decided to acknowledge the problem and promised to not interfere in future contracts at the same time it waved with a tax increase to cover the future costs of the more expensive energy. It was one perfect example of how not to manage a country, given by a president that sold an image of a great manager in the energy department.

Both situations show how bad the current government, and I would dare to say the current president, deal with this sort of conflicts. When faced with a situation where there is a need for negotiation the government usually try to impose itself first and end up being obliged to step back and offer a much more costly and inefficient solution in the end.

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