Nobody yet knows at what extent this year’s protests will have an effect on the next year’s presidential elections. There were those who said it would impede Dilma from being reelected and I certainly believe it was one thing that gave Eduardo Campos and the its party the PSB the final push towards moving out of the government and launching a presidential candidacy for president.
One thing is for sure, the tone of the press around Dilma could certainly be one indicator that preceded the protests. Initially the press was very positive around Dilma. The president got compliments from O Estado de S. Paulo in her first interview. Dilma was somewhat protected by the press during her first year as a president, when she had to cut six ministers accused of corruption.
The honeymoon started to end throughout the second year and definitely ended in the end beginning of this year, when it became clear that the country’s economy stability had been thrown away by the president, in the name of maintaining (artificially) the unemployment low and the president’s popularity high. The main indicator that this was the case was the lost of the grip in inflation, that obliged Dilma to push back one of her main objectives in the economic policy (of bringing the Brazilian interest rates to international levels).
Today, Ricardo Noblat, columnist of O Globo, elevates even more the tone against the president, siding her with two other Brazilian contradictions already unmasked: the former senator Demóstenes Torres (that was a symbol of honesty until he was linked with Carlos Cachoeira, a criminal that run illegal gambling business across the Brazil’s center-west region) and Eike Batista (a Brazilian billionaire, featured as one of the richest men in the world, and now facing bankruptcy). Noblat says Dilma’s contradiction is her fame as a tough manager, highly promoted by Lula. Since none of the big infrastructure improvements were launched due to a lack of managerial and political abilities, Noblat says it is a big contradiction that Dilma still has a chance of being elected for a second term.
This certainly gives another glimpse of what will be the general tone against the president next year, and again can also indicate that the amount of effort, and money, that PT will have to spend for this reelection will be much more than expected two years ago.
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