Sunday, December 1, 2013

The latest election survey from Datafolha

It seems that after a major setback from the bad economic news to the protests, president Dilma's popularity is on the rise again. The latest survey from Datafolha, a research company of the newspaper Folha de S. Paulo, shows that the president would be successful among any candidate that is considered today. Dilma scores from 41% to 47% of the total votes' intentions. This means that she would defeat almost all of their opponents in the first round of the presidential elections with the exception of Marina Silva, that is currently being accounted most as a vice-president candidate for the Eduardo Campos candidacy.

Behind this more favorable scene are some recent change on the news, that were more optimists on later weeks. Finally the government concessions got out of the paper, with the airports and the first road segment (of BR-163)  being delivered to the private initiative. The inflation also seemed to be under control, with the market predictions falling down on the beginning of the week and the Central Bank raising interest rates to 10%, on another sign that the economic policy is searching for more credibility. 

In this scenario, the government authorized an increase of 2% on the gasoline prices by Petrobras, that was suffering with cash flow problems since it had to import the fuel with a higher price than consumers in Brazil pay for it. It is still not enough for the company's needs, market analysts said, but it is a sign that things are changing. 

Last but not least, the recent news that the statistics bureau IGBE is revising last year's growth from 0.9% to 1.5% also contributed to the change of humor this week. Let's hope that the country keeps on this track for the next year.

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